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#Behaviour

All posts tagged with "Behaviour".

#Behaviour

Rates Are Rising Again. Is the Market About to Crash?

Rates Are Rising Again. Is the Market About to Crash?

The 30-year US Treasury yield is back at levels last seen before the global financial crisis, and the headlines say the bond market is coming for shares. So we took every month since 1954 and asked what actually happened after the 10-year yield rose. The answer is calmer than the coverage — with one condition attached, and it is not the one the headlines are watching.

The Dip You Are Waiting For Turns Up About a Third of the Time

The Dip You Are Waiting For Turns Up About a Third of the Time

It is the most reasonable-sounding plan in investing: hold the cash, wait for a pullback, buy the discount. We tested it across a hundred and fifty years of market history. The problem is not that it fails when the dip comes — it is how often the dip never comes at all, and what that costs while you wait.